COVID cases should stay "fairly flat" up to Christmas but are likely to get worse in the New Year - and areas with low jab rates..
First day of a calendar year
New Year is the time or day at which a new calendar year begins and the calendar's year count increments by one. Many cultures celebrate the event in some manner. In the Gregorian calendar, the most widely used calendar system today, New Year occurs on January 1. This was also the first day of the year in the original Julian calendar and the Roman calendar.