The Probability of Iran Blocking Strait of Hormuz Surges to 52% On Polymarket After Trump's Air Strikes on Iran's Nuclear Facility

The probability of Iran's leadership blocking the Strait of Hormuz for shipping has increased following the U.S. airstrikes on Iran's nuclear facilities. At press time, shares of the Yes side of the Polymarket-listed contract "Will Iran Close the Strait of Hormuz before June 30 traded at 40 cents,…