Rising Global Supply Outweigh U.S. Demand Strength

Crude oil markets endured a sharp four-day selloff from June 22-26, driven by collapsing geopolitical risk premiums and mounting global supply. The steep decline wiped out nearly all the gains from mid-June’s heightened Middle East tensions, as traders recalibrated around fresh supply-side realities and emerging demand concerns. Iran-Israel Ceasefire Removes Key Supply Risk Oil’s abrupt decline was catalyzed by a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, announced late Monday by U.S. President Donald Trump. Though Israel accused…